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USGS Research Findings Published from 2007 “USGS Science Strategy to Inform U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service Polar Bear Listing Decision”

Amstrup, S. C., B. G. Marcot, and D. C. Douglas. 2008. A Bayesian network modeling approach to forecasting the 21st century worldwide status of polar bears. DeWeaver, E.T., C.M. Bitz, and L.B. Tremblay, eds. Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms and Implications. Geophysical Monograph 180, Washington D.C. (pdf file 2.3 mb)

Durner, G. M., D. C. Douglas, R. M. Nielson, S. C. Amstrup, T. L. McDonald, I. Stirling, M. Mauritzen, E. W. Born, O. Wiig, E. DeWeaver, M. C. Serreze, S. E. Belikov, M. M. Holland, J. Maslanik, J. Aars, D. A. Bailey, and A. E. Derocher. 2009. Predicting 21st-century polar bear habitat distribution from global climate models. Ecological Monographs 79:25-58.

Hunter, C.M., H. Caswell, M.C. Runge, E.V. Regehr, S.C. Amstrup, and I. Stirling. 2010. Climate change threatens polar bear populations: A stochastic demographic analysis. Ecology 91:2883-2897.

Regehr, E. V., C. M. Hunter, H. Caswell, S. C. Amstrup, and I. Stirling. 2009. Survival and breeding of polar bears in the southern Beaufort Sea in relation to sea ice. Journal of Animal Ecology. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.2009.01603.x

Rode, K. D., S. C. Amstrup, and E. V. Regehr. 2010. Reduced body size and cub recruitment in polar bears associated with sea ice decline. Ecological Applications. 20(3):768-782. doi: 10.1890/08-1036.1

Stirling, I., T. L. McDonald, E. S. Richardson, E. V. Regehr, and S. C. Amstrup. 2011. Polar bear population status in the Northern Beaufort Sea, Canada, 1971-2006. Ecological Applications 21(3):859-876. doi: 10.1890/10-0849.1

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