Alaska Science Center
Wildlife Potential Habitat Forecasting Framework (WildCast)
WildCast (WILDlife Potential Habitat ForeCASTing Project) is a completed project led by USGS, in collaboration with the National Park Service, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and the U.S. Forest Service. WildCast was devised to provide models for projecting future land cover and wildlife habitat conditions in northwest Alaska under potential scenarios of climate change, and to provide an image database for future change-comparison research.
The geographic area covered under WildCast includes the five administrative units of the National Park Service's Arctic Network and the adjacent Selawick National Wildlife Refuge of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
WildCast was initiated in 2009 and largely completed in 2014 with the series of publications, presentations, image databases, and (forthcoming) documentation of models projecting current and future land cover and wildlife habitats of the region over the 21st century under assumptions of changes in regional climate temperature and various biophysical drivers and disturbances.
The change-projection models, along with the image database, are intended to provide a valuable legacy for future research. The models can be updated with new information, and the image database provides a baseline against which future images – aerial or satellite – can be compared.
WildCast Project Collaborators
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, J. P. Lawler, C. M. Handel, and A. R. DeGange. 2015. Projected changes in wildlife habitats in Arctic natural areas of northwest Alaska. Climatic Change. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1354-x [Details] [Full Publication]
DeGange, A. R., B. G. Marcot, J. Lawler, T. Jorgenson, and R. Winfree. 2014. Predicting the effects of climate change on ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska: results of the WildCast project. Alaska Park Science 12(2):66-73.
Marcot, B. G. 2010. Modeling approaches for predicting change under WILDCAST: making progress in a data-poor world. Alaska Park Science 8(2):90-94.
Marcot, B. G., M. T. Jorgenson, and A. R. DeGange. 2014. Low-altitude photographic transects of the Arctic Network of National Park Units and Selawik National Wildlife Refuge, Alaska, July 2013. USGS Data Series 846, 44 p. doi:10.3133/ds846 [Details] [Full Publication]
Jorgenson, M. T., and B. G. Marcot. 2012. Predicting future habitat changes and habitat use in northwest Alaska. Presented at: Interior Arctic Alaska National Parks Climate Change Scenario Planning Workshop. 27 March 2012, University of Alaska, Fairbanks.
Jorgenson, M. T., B. G. Marcot, D. K. Swanson, J. C. Jorgenson, and A. R. DeGange. 2014. Projected changes in diverse ecosystems from climate warming in northwest Alaska. Presented at: 2014 US International Association of Landscape Ecology (US-IALE), 18-22 May 2014, Anchorage, Alaska.
Lawler, J., J. C. Jorgenson, B. G. Marcot, R. Winfree, and A. R. DeGange. 2014. WildCast: Projecting ecotypes and wildlife habitats in the Arctic Network and Selawik National Wildlife Refuge. Presented at: 7th annual Western Alaska Interdisciplinary Science Conference, 23-25 April 2014, Kotzebue, Alaska.
Marcot, B. G. 2008. Defining input parameters to model habitat change in a changing climate (Workshop Moderator). Presented 17 October 2008 at: Wildlife Potential Habitat Forecasting Framework (WildCast) Workshop, USDI Geological Survey and National Park Service, Fairbanks, Alaska.
Marcot, B. G. 2008. Modeling approaches useful for predicting change. Presented 17 October 2008 at: Wildlife Potential Habitat Forecasting Framework (WildCast) Workshop, USDI Geological Survey and National Park Service, Fairbanks, Alaska.