Wildlife Potential Habitat Forecasting Framework
WILDCAST (WILDlife Potential Habitat ForeCASTing Framework) is a documented knowledge-based forecasting tool. The initial proof of concept pilot focuses on the biomes associated with the National Park Service's Arctic Network and is a joint 3-year effort of USGS and NPS beginning in FY09.
Inputs to WILDCAST will be developed through collaborations with ongoing efforts to include 1) models of probable changes to biome boundaries based on regional climate projections for 25, 50, 75 and 100 years into the future and 2) models of probable changes to vegetation type makeup based on changes in regional climate temperature and precipitation.
For the wildlife component of WILDCAST we will document or develop 1) professional assessments of likely changes to wildlife habitats both in range and extent and 2) models of probable effect of habitat change to key species of importance through Bayesian belief network (BBN) or other similar techniques.
WILDCAST will be a collaborative tool to help identify critical weaknesses in our understanding of wildlife response to potential habitat change, help define research priorities, and inform resource management discussions.
WILDCAST Kick-off Workshop